Ten years ago, power usage at data centres was growing at an unsustainable rate, soaring 24% from 2005 to 2010. But a shift to virtualisation, cloud computing, and improved data centre management is reducing energy demand.
According to a new study, data centre energy use is expected to increase just 4% from 2014 to 2020, despite growing demand for computing resources.
Total data centre electricity usage in the US, which includes powering servers, storage, networking, and the infrastructure to support it, was at 70 billion kWh (kilowatt hours) in 2014, representing 1.8% of total US electricity consumption.
Based on current trends, data centres are expected to consume about 73 billion kWh in 2020, becoming nearly flat over the next four years, according to a study by the US Department of Energy’s Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory. “However, demand for computations and the amount of productivity performed by data centres continues to rise at substantial rates.”
Improved efficiency is most evident in the growth rate of physical servers.
From 2000 to 2005, server shipments increased 15% each year, resulting in a near doubling of servers in data centres. From 2005 to 2010, the annual shipment increases fell to 5%, but some of this decline was due to the recession. Nonetheless, this server growth rate is now at 3%, a pace that is expected to continue through 2020.
The reduced server growth rate is a result of the increase in server efficiency, better utilisation thanks to virtualisation, and a shift to cloud computing. This includes concentration of workloads in so-called hyperscale data centres, defined as 400,000 square feet in size and above.
Energy use by data centres may also decline if more work is shifted to hyperscale centres, and best practices continue to win adoption.
“I’m even more optimistic than the study authors and would predict that total energy usage will go down as more IT users transition to public clouds, which not only have the most efficient buildings but through consolidation and elastic scaling reduce the energy per application,” said Urs Holzle, Google’s senior vice president for infrastructure, wrote in a blog post in response to the study. The shift to mobile devices, which use less power than desktops, will help as well in conserving energy.
IDG News Service
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